##plugins.themes.academic_pro.article.main##

Abstract

The Covid-19 outbreak has plagued and spread to all corners of the world, one of which is Indonesia. As a result of the prolonged Covid-19, Indonesia's economic growth has decreased as well as publicly listed companies on the IDX. This study aims to: (1) test whether there are differences in the prediction results between Taffler, CA-Score, Grover and Ohlson models, (2) test which predictive model is the most accurate in predicting the financial distress of companies in hotel, restaurant, and tourism sub-sectors, and (3) knowing which companies are predicted to be affected by financial distress. This type of research is quantitative descriptive using secondary data taken from the company's financial statements with purposive sampling technique so that there are 13 companies as samples. The results showed that there were differences in the prediction results of Taffler, CA-Score, Grover, and Ohlson models with the highest level of accuracy owned by the Grover model, which was 93,85%. Based on the calculation of the Grover model, there are three companies that are predicted to experience financial distress. Therefore, to overcome this, the company can improve its performance by increasing working capital and profits.


Keywords: Financial Distress; Taffler; CA-Score; Grover; Ohlson

##plugins.themes.academic_pro.article.details##

References

  1. Arifin, A. Z. (2018). Manajemen Keuangan. Yogyakarta: Zahir Publishing.
  2. Badan Pusat Statistik. 2021. (https://www.bps.go.id/, diakses 18 September 2021).
  3. Basri, H., Muhlisa, N., Tranita, D., Kharisma, & Syarfiah, J. (2020). Polemik Covid-19 & Perubahan Sosial. IAIN Parepare Nusantara Press.
  4. Bursa Efek Indonesia. 2021. (https://www.idx.co.id/, diakses 20 September 2021).
  5. Elia, R., & Rahayu, Y. (2021). Analisis Prediksi Financial Distress dengan Model Springate, Zmijewski, dan Grover. Jurnal Ilmu Dan Riset Akuntansi, 10(3).
  6. Fredy, H. (2018). The Prediction of Bankcruptcy in the Pulp and Paper Industry Company Listed in Indonesia Stock Exchange on 2011-2016 Period Using Z-Score Altman, Springate, and Grover Model. South East Asia Journal of Contemporary Business, Economics, and Law, 15(5), 52–62.
  7. Kartikasari, & Diyah Santi Hariyani. (2019). Ketepatan Model Prediksi Financial Distress pada Perusahaan Retail di Indonesia. Jurnal Nusamba, 4(2), 117–127.
  8. Kementrian Koperasi dan UKM. 2021. (https://www.kemenkopukm.go.id/, diakses 23 September 2021).
  9. Kementrian Pariwisata dan Ekonomi Kreatif. 2021. (https://www.kemenparekraf.go.id/, diakses 23 September 2021).
  10. Kordestani, G., Biglari, V., & Bakhtiari, M. (2011). Ability of combinations of cash flow components to predict financial distress. Verslas: Teorija Ir Praktika Business: Theory and Practice, 12(3), 277–285.
  11. Nasri, R., Aini, N., & Sunarti. (2020). Pengukuran Financial Distress dengan Model Foster , Grover dan Ohlson (Studi Empiris pada Perusahaan Property dan Real Estate). Seminar Nasional Penelitian LPPM UMJ. 2745-6080
  12. Penman, S. H. (2013). Financial Statement Analysis and Security Valuation (5th ed.). New York: McGraw-Hill.
  13. Piscestalia, N., & Priyadi, M. P. (2019). Analisis Perbandingan Model Prediksi Financial Distress dengan Model Springate, Ohlson, Zmijewski, dan Grover. Jurnal Ilmu Dan Riset Akuntansi, 8(6).
  14. Putera, F. Z. Z. A., Swandari, F., & Dewi, D. M. (2016). Perbandingan Prediksi Financial Distress dengan Menggunakan Model Altman, Springate, dan Ohlson. Jurnal Wawasan Manajemen, 4(3), 217–230.
  15. Salimah, S., & Yunita, I. (2020). Analisis Tingkat Akurasi Model Springate, Ohlson dan Grover dalam Memprediksi Financial Distress (Studi Empiris pada Perusahaan Sub Sektor Pertambangan Batubara di Bursa Efek Indonesia Periode 2013-2017). Jurnal Mitra Manajemen, 4(2), 302–311.
  16. Sayari, N., & Mugan, C. S. (2017). Industry Specific Financial Distress Modeling. BRQ Business Research Quarterly, 45–62.
  17. Septiana, A. (2019). Analisis Laporan Keuangan; Konsep Dasar dan Deskripsi Laporan Keuangan (1st ed.). Duta Media Publishing.
  18. Sitorus, K. (2020). Model Bisnis Perusahaan Hotel, Restoran & Pariwisata yang Mampu Bertahan Dalam Menghadapi Financial Distress Pada Masa Pandemi Covid-19 (Analisis Tren, Komparasi dan Identifikasi Melalui Calk).
  19. Sudiono, M.N. (2017). An Analysis of Bankruptcy Likelihood on Coal Mining Listed Firms in The Indonesian Stock Exchange: An Altman, Springate, and Zmijewski Approaches. Eurasian Journal of Economics and Finance, 99-108.
  20. Sugiyono. (2016). Metode Penelitian Manajemen (5th ed.). Bandung: Alfabeta.
  21. Whitaker, R. B. (2017). The Early Stages of Financial Distress. Journal of Economics and Finance, 23(2), 123–132.
  22. Widiasmara, A., & Rahayu, H. C. (2019). Perbedaan Model Ohlson, Model Taffler, dan Model Springate dalam Memprediksi Financial Distress. Jurnal Akuntansi, 3(2).